THE FUTURE OF SALMON FISHERY

To increase the contribution of salmon fishery to the food security, economy, and prosperity of Russia, the scientifically based approaches of the effective forecasting and management aimed at the minimization of all risks to the bioresources condition should be developed. The paper analyzes the views of the scientific community about the future of Pacific salmon. Based on the literature review, the authors conclude about the fact that this issue is an object of the intellectual discourse that increases significantly the uncertainty in the management of this valuable fishery type. Some authors do not see any risks to the Pacific salmon resources standing for its ecological flexibility and the ability to overpass freely temperature jumps and mixed free water. Other, on the contrary, predict fundamental change in the stock of this species based on the emerging tendency of reduction in the indices of harvest in the Northern Pacific. The development of international cooperation and the intensification of coordinated research activities aimed at the study of the stock dynamics of salmon, its range, and the immunity to the anthropogenic load can be the effective solution to eliminate these contradictions. The authors study the initiatives of international organizations in the sphere of Pacific salmon control. In particular, key components of the pilot project of the Commission for the anadromous fish of North Pacific Ocean – the International year of salmon, including the goal, the topics and time limits, and the main stages, were identified. New priorities for future studies are suggested, which will contribute to our understanding of the future of salmon in the changing world and better inform the agricultural and food policy.